Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 14.660340 17.109832 19.778595 22.893921 26.422024 30.284761 34.824789
2025-04-06 10.218999 13.481642 17.409942 22.447043 28.689127 36.122227 45.589996
2025-04-13 7.354760 10.749582 15.186766 21.319761 29.471265 39.816552 53.802684
2025-04-20 6.220434 9.876015 14.976794 22.451313 32.930830 46.879650 66.582197
2025-04-27 5.482105 9.354337 15.070033 23.869698 36.766912 54.616472 80.737226
2025-05-04 4.680267 8.558728 14.597773 24.334537 39.200472 60.517056 92.719960
2025-05-11 3.928938 7.687497 13.849734 24.231162 40.700843 65.105898 103.066893
2025-05-18 3.265063 6.829836 12.976459 23.778721 41.551755 68.713679 112.126562
2025-05-25 2.730967 6.097223 12.190750 23.339158 42.320286 72.172899 121.096137
2025-06-01 2.289769 5.451691 11.453539 22.867847 42.945048 75.386908 129.812445
2025-06-08 1.837599 4.689589 10.384432 21.665655 42.192716 76.298471 134.900672
2025-06-15 1.695100 4.556433 10.488215 22.594467 45.169592 83.435425 150.316007
2025-06-22 1.549716 4.410754 10.589573 23.612502 48.542410 91.706032 168.516443
2025-06-29 1.280537 3.919281 9.918559 23.078310 49.094710 95.318468 179.383719
2025-07-06 1.012317 3.357522 8.996900 21.910055 48.327704 96.558146 186.289055
2025-07-13 0.940528 3.297419 9.185952 23.065667 52.116406 106.116944 208.095235
2025-07-20 0.892209 3.291637 9.498883 24.516658 56.597823 117.192826 233.147125
2025-07-27 0.795413 3.118056 9.378243 24.992186 59.144312 124.848209 252.495026
2025-08-03 0.684203 2.867827 9.022667 24.886393 60.472761 130.286320 268.101951
2025-08-10 0.575047 2.589537 8.542912 24.423439 60.992144 134.188421 281.062449
2025-08-17 0.483430 2.340745 8.095153 23.973636 61.484499 138.043580 294.105983
2025-08-24 0.405042 2.112154 7.659299 23.491318 61.848672 141.645197 306.827004
2025-08-31 0.319183 1.818334 6.970150 22.260899 60.396636 141.478360 312.270777